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Methodology

How the Rankings Actually Work

Every number on this site is recalculated automatically, straight from completed games — no manual edits once the season starts.

Scrape results

Every statewide game is pulled automatically as soon as it's posted.

Rate offense & defense

Each team gets two ratings — how it scores, and how it prevents scoring.

Game is played

The final score is compared to what both teams' ratings predicted.

Ratings shift

Both teams' ratings move immediately, with a home-field adjustment built in.

A sample game, with fictional teams
Eagles 2 – 1 Hawks
Eagles offense
↑ outscored expectation
Hawks defense
↓ allowed more than expected